Date: 2021-03-12

Time: 15:30-16:30 (Montreal time)

Zoom Link

Meeting ID: 939 8331 3215

Passcode: 096952

Abstract:

Informative selection, in which the distribution of response variables given that they are sampled is different from their distribution in the population, is pervasive in complex surveys. Failing to take such informativeness into account can produce severe inferential errors, including biased and inconsistent estimation of population parameters. While several parametric procedures exist to test for informative selection, these methods are limited in scope and their parametric assumptions are difficult to assess. We consider two classes of nonparametric tests of informative selection. The first class is motivated by classic nonparametric two-sample tests. We compare weighted and unweighted empirical distribution functions and obtain tests for informative selection that are analogous to Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cramer-von Mises. For the second class of tests, we adapt a kernel-based learning method that compares distributions based on their maximum mean discrepancy. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistics are established under the null hypothesis of noninformative selection. Simulation results show that our tests have power competitive with existing parametric tests in a correctly specified parametric setting, and better than those tests under model misspecification. A recreational angling application illustrates the methodology.

Speaker

Jay Breidt is a professor and associate chair in the Department of Statistics at Colorado State University. His research focuses on statistical inference in finite population sampling and natural resources monitoring; his specific emphasis is on survey sampling, time series and uncertainty quantification. Breidt is the associate editor for the Journal of Forecasting, Environmental and Ecological Statistics.